What is the True Winning Percentage of a Professional Soccer-punter?
Many people believe professional-level sports bettors win at least 60% of their bets. It's understandable that people think that, but it's just not true. The fact is, the difference between the percentage of bets won by successful sports bettors and the percentage of bets won by losers is relatively very small. Anyone can expect to win 50 percent. After all, the only thing required is to flip a coin and pick a side. The bookmakers' profit comes from the difference between what a bettor must risk and what a bettor expects to win. Every time a player wins, the bookmaker withholds slightly more than 9 percent of the winnings ($1 for every $11 risked). Consequently, a bettor winning only half his bets will ultimately go broke. Professional sports bettors, by comparison, rarely sustain a long term winning percentage higher than 57 or 58 percent, and it's often as low as 54 or 55 percent. People find that hard to believe, and they understandably get even more skeptical when told that, for a genuine professional-level sports bettor, a long term winning expectation of 60% or more is actually too high. The measure of success of a sports handicapper is not his percentage of winning bets, but the relative amount of profit he made over any given period of time. Best regards
Winder Liao
Winder sports
http://www.windersports.net/winderexpertsoccerpicks.htm winder expert picks - Asian handicap specialist to european soccer fixtures. http://www.windersports.net
winder sports portal - Your guide to winder's interest on sports : provides tips and techniques to improve your game. email:winder88@lycos.com
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Tip One: Mix Up Your Play: Once you have mastered the fundamentals of a
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Tip Two: Online tells: The most reliable tells in online poker revolve
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tells. A long pause followed by a bet usually means the player is
strong and wants you to think he is weak. A long pause followed by a
check usually indicates a weak hand. This player either wants you to
check so he can get a free card, or wants you to think he has a strong enough
hand to "think" about betting. You'll rarely be check-raised by anyone who took
a long time to check, it's not a normal betting pattern. When check-raising most
players want everything to look as normal as possible to help make sure you'll
put in a bet before they spring the trap. If you do get a check-raise from a
player who paused heavily before the original check, be very careful. You
should also watch for instantaneous bets and raises on the turn and river. This
usually indicates a powerhouse hand and an attempt to get you to call by
intimidating you into it.
Tip Three: Limpin' Ain't Easy: Although this applies to
both live and online play, we see it so often in online poker games that it had
to be included: don't limp when you're the first to enter a pot! The logic
behind this tip us that since you have no money involved in the pot, if you fold
you lose nothing. Therefore, if you're going call you had better have a hand
that expects to earn money-and if your hand is a favorite, you should raise. In
addition, you will also stop giving away valuable information about the hands
you are playing (astute players will quickly divide your holdings into raising
and calling hands). By raising every time you enter a pot, you reveal the
minimum amount of information possible. (It should also be noted that in
Hold'em there a number of hands that are not worth a call, but are worth a
raise-however, that's another article.) In short, the best way to think about
this rule is that if a hand is not strong enough to raise with, it is not strong
enough to call with.
Of course, in poker, there is an exception to every rule. If
for instance, you're holding Aces and you know that the maniac to your left will
raise if you limp in, then by all means, limp away. However, this play is a
much more advanced move and you had better know what you're doing before you try
it. Not only do you risk wasting a big pocket pair, but you may easily end up
going broke if your opponent limps behind you and makes two pair on the flop
with a K,5.
Tip Four: Short-Handed Play: Most likely, a good number of the
tournaments you'll be playing online will be Sit-and-Go's (9-handed games that
begin as soon as 9 players signup to play.) When playing Sit-and-Go's you'll
inevitably be faced with short-handed play (or at least you hope you will be).
When playing short-handed, aggression is key. I'm sure you've seen it before:
the game gets down to three or four players and suddenly the guy on your right
is going nuts! He's raising, re-raising, and completely dominating the game. To
the beginner, or to those inexperienced in short-handed play, this wild-man
appears to have just thrown caution to the wind. He finally shows down a hand
and he's holding K,9! However, he probably won the hand-and he probably stole a
bunch o' blinds before that. So what's his trick? Aggression. A complete
poker player must learn to play a solid aggressive game. It's simply not enough
to sit back and wait for good cards during 9/10 handed play, only to fall apart
when you're close to the big money spots. For example, have you seen T.J.
Cloutier at a final table? He's about as tight as they come until he reaches
short-handed play. That's when he comes out firing. He does this because he
knows that if he doesn't, someone will-and then it'll be him getting run over
and not the other way around.
I know this tip may make you a little uncomfortable if you're
generally a tight player-but believe me, once you learn to enjoy short-handed
play it's probably the most fun you'll have a poker table.
Gaming Winners
Before you plan a trip to Las Vegas or Atlantic City or going on a cruise with legalized Gambling, certain things you must know of, and the most important one being How To Win. Gamble is all about taking a calculated risk, using your skills combined with a strategy and finally one thing that all of us want, Luck.
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